← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1North Carolina State University0.98+1.17vs Predicted
-
2William and Mary-0.82+2.82vs Predicted
-
3Virginia Tech0.07+0.36vs Predicted
-
4University of Virginia-1.15+1.43vs Predicted
-
5University of Maryland-1.29+0.64vs Predicted
-
6Penn State University-1.59+0.07vs Predicted
-
7University of Virginia0.70-4.39vs Predicted
-
8American University-1.50-2.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.17North Carolina State University0.980.4%1st Place
-
4.82William and Mary-0.820.1%1st Place
-
3.36Virginia Tech0.070.2%1st Place
-
5.43University of Virginia-1.150.0%1st Place
-
5.64University of Maryland-1.290.0%1st Place
-
6.07Penn State University-1.590.0%1st Place
-
2.61University of Virginia0.700.3%1st Place
-
5.9American University-1.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Brelage | 38.4% | 28.2% | 18.7% | 9.4% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Finian Knight | 6.5% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 18.1% | 17.0% | 17.0% | 14.9% | 8.1% |
| James Lilyquist | 16.0% | 16.3% | 24.3% | 17.9% | 14.4% | 7.9% | 2.0% | 1.2% |
| Henry Myrick | 4.2% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 12.0% | 16.2% | 18.9% | 19.1% | 15.8% |
| Brian Zagalsky | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 11.7% | 15.5% | 16.9% | 22.3% | 18.7% |
| Makenna Labor | 3.1% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 9.3% | 12.6% | 14.9% | 20.3% | 31.3% |
| Andrew Montague | 26.1% | 28.9% | 20.5% | 13.0% | 6.9% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Curtis | 2.2% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 13.4% | 19.8% | 20.4% | 24.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.