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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Virginia0.70+1.52vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University0.98+0.20vs Predicted
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3University of Virginia-1.15+2.39vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech0.07-0.55vs Predicted
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5William and Mary-0.82-0.16vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland-1.29-0.39vs Predicted
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7American University-1.50-1.02vs Predicted
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8Penn State University-1.59-1.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.52University of Virginia0.700.3%1st Place
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2.2North Carolina State University0.980.4%1st Place
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5.39University of Virginia-1.150.0%1st Place
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3.45Virginia Tech0.070.1%1st Place
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4.84William and Mary-0.820.1%1st Place
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5.61University of Maryland-1.290.0%1st Place
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5.98American University-1.500.0%1st Place
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6.02Penn State University-1.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Montague | 28.7% | 28.6% | 20.0% | 12.8% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Brelage | 37.2% | 28.9% | 18.1% | 9.8% | 4.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Henry Myrick | 4.5% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 14.3% | 18.2% | 19.2% | 16.3% |
| James Lilyquist | 14.1% | 17.3% | 22.3% | 21.0% | 13.1% | 7.1% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| Finian Knight | 5.7% | 7.3% | 12.0% | 16.6% | 18.8% | 17.2% | 15.0% | 7.4% |
| Brian Zagalsky | 3.8% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 11.5% | 17.3% | 17.7% | 18.1% | 20.2% |
| Ryan Curtis | 3.4% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 12.8% | 16.4% | 22.0% | 27.5% |
| Makenna Labor | 2.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 12.9% | 19.5% | 21.0% | 27.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.