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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.07+2.57vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University0.98+0.32vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland-0.58+1.70vs Predicted
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4University of Virginia0.70-1.29vs Predicted
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5Penn State University-1.59+1.37vs Predicted
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6William and Mary-0.82-0.86vs Predicted
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7University of Virginia-1.02-1.50vs Predicted
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8American University-1.20-2.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.57Virginia Tech0.070.1%1st Place
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2.32North Carolina State University0.980.4%1st Place
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4.7University of Maryland-0.580.1%1st Place
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2.71University of Virginia0.700.3%1st Place
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6.37Penn State University-1.590.0%1st Place
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5.14William and Mary-0.820.1%1st Place
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5.5University of Virginia-1.020.0%1st Place
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5.67American University-1.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Lilyquist | 14.6% | 17.6% | 18.8% | 18.8% | 14.3% | 8.9% | 5.3% | 1.7% |
| Ryan Brelage | 35.8% | 27.2% | 18.2% | 10.2% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jared Cohen | 7.5% | 8.7% | 13.3% | 14.1% | 18.5% | 16.4% | 14.0% | 7.5% |
| Andrew Montague | 25.6% | 24.6% | 22.8% | 14.8% | 6.9% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Makenna Labor | 1.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 10.7% | 12.9% | 21.1% | 39.0% |
| Finian Knight | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 13.9% | 17.5% | 17.5% | 18.0% | 11.8% |
| James Unger | 4.7% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 19.7% | 19.5% | 18.5% |
| James Cottage | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 11.8% | 13.9% | 18.7% | 19.6% | 21.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.