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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.07+2.58vs Predicted
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2University of Virginia0.70+0.70vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University0.98-0.67vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland-0.58+0.77vs Predicted
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5Penn State University-1.59+1.36vs Predicted
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6William and Mary-0.82-0.89vs Predicted
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7University of Virginia-1.02-1.50vs Predicted
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8American University-1.20-2.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.58Virginia Tech0.070.1%1st Place
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2.7University of Virginia0.700.3%1st Place
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2.33North Carolina State University0.980.3%1st Place
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4.77University of Maryland-0.580.1%1st Place
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6.36Penn State University-1.590.0%1st Place
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5.11William and Mary-0.820.1%1st Place
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5.5University of Virginia-1.020.1%1st Place
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5.65American University-1.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Lilyquist | 14.2% | 16.6% | 21.1% | 18.8% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 5.0% | 1.6% |
| Andrew Montague | 26.1% | 26.1% | 20.4% | 13.7% | 8.4% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Brelage | 35.0% | 27.6% | 18.7% | 10.6% | 5.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Jared Cohen | 7.0% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 15.1% | 18.0% | 17.6% | 13.6% | 8.6% |
| Makenna Labor | 2.2% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 10.0% | 13.5% | 20.6% | 38.9% |
| Finian Knight | 6.5% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 15.8% | 16.7% | 17.2% | 17.1% | 12.2% |
| James Unger | 5.0% | 5.1% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 14.2% | 17.1% | 21.2% | 18.1% |
| James Cottage | 4.0% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 15.2% | 18.2% | 20.6% | 20.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.