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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University0.98+1.24vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech0.07+1.61vs Predicted
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3University of Virginia0.70-0.37vs Predicted
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4William and Mary-0.82+1.10vs Predicted
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5Penn State University-0.80+0.06vs Predicted
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6American University-1.50+0.14vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland-1.29-1.11vs Predicted
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8University of Virginia-1.02-2.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.24North Carolina State University0.980.4%1st Place
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3.61Virginia Tech0.070.1%1st Place
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2.63University of Virginia0.700.3%1st Place
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5.1William and Mary-0.820.1%1st Place
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5.06Penn State University-0.800.0%1st Place
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6.14American University-1.500.0%1st Place
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5.89University of Maryland-1.290.0%1st Place
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5.33University of Virginia-1.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Brelage | 37.6% | 28.3% | 16.9% | 9.8% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| James Lilyquist | 14.2% | 15.7% | 21.4% | 16.7% | 15.0% | 11.0% | 4.4% | 1.6% |
| Andrew Montague | 26.1% | 26.4% | 22.5% | 13.5% | 7.5% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Finian Knight | 5.8% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 13.1% | 15.5% | 19.1% | 18.0% | 11.1% |
| Justin Marquez | 4.9% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 14.7% | 17.0% | 16.9% | 18.2% | 10.2% |
| Ryan Curtis | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 14.8% | 18.8% | 34.4% |
| Brian Zagalsky | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 15.6% | 20.8% | 27.8% |
| James Unger | 4.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 13.2% | 16.9% | 17.7% | 18.8% | 14.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.