← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1North Carolina State University0.41+1.52vs Predicted
-
2American University-1.49+3.74vs Predicted
-
3Virginia Tech-0.03+0.24vs Predicted
-
4William and Mary-0.40-0.12vs Predicted
-
5University of Virginia-0.43-1.10vs Predicted
-
6University of Maryland-0.66-1.73vs Predicted
-
7University of Virginia-2.55+0.04vs Predicted
-
8Penn State University-1.34-2.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.52North Carolina State University0.410.3%1st Place
-
5.74American University-1.490.0%1st Place
-
3.24Virginia Tech-0.030.2%1st Place
-
3.88William and Mary-0.400.1%1st Place
-
3.9University of Virginia-0.430.1%1st Place
-
4.27University of Maryland-0.660.1%1st Place
-
7.04University of Virginia-2.550.0%1st Place
-
5.4Penn State University-1.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Wheary | 32.3% | 26.7% | 17.5% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Hannah Arey | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 17.7% | 30.1% | 17.0% |
| Zachary Bender | 20.0% | 19.6% | 18.0% | 17.6% | 13.2% | 7.6% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Charlotte Stillman | 13.1% | 14.6% | 15.5% | 17.1% | 17.3% | 13.7% | 7.4% | 1.3% |
| Maxwell Penders | 12.3% | 15.0% | 17.1% | 16.6% | 14.8% | 14.7% | 7.8% | 1.7% |
| Eli Leopold | 11.3% | 10.5% | 14.9% | 16.5% | 15.4% | 16.4% | 11.3% | 3.7% |
| Anne Krieger | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 15.8% | 62.4% |
| Erich Laughlin | 4.4% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 15.3% | 19.5% | 23.0% | 12.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.