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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.30+2.07vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.09+4.43vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.10+5.82vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii1.05+6.14vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.10+3.10vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.60+2.55vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.38-1.09vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College1.51+1.22vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania1.77-2.54vs Predicted
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10Fordham University0.71+2.65vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.14-1.82vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77-5.11vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin0.70-0.91vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91-2.52vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University0.97-4.79vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67-4.32vs Predicted
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17North Carolina State University-0.03-3.46vs Predicted
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18University of Texas-1.43-1.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.07Stanford University3.3028.7%1st Place
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6.43Boston College2.098.2%1st Place
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8.82Harvard University2.104.4%1st Place
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10.14University of Hawaii1.053.1%1st Place
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8.1Dartmouth College2.106.1%1st Place
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8.55University of South Florida1.604.5%1st Place
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5.91Cornell University2.389.2%1st Place
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9.22Bowdoin College1.514.4%1st Place
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6.46University of Pennsylvania1.778.5%1st Place
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12.65Fordham University0.711.6%1st Place
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9.18Boston University1.144.2%1st Place
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6.89Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.777.8%1st Place
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12.09University of Wisconsin0.701.5%1st Place
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11.48Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.911.8%1st Place
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10.21Old Dominion University0.972.9%1st Place
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11.68St. Mary's College of Maryland0.672.0%1st Place
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13.54North Carolina State University-0.031.0%1st Place
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16.58University of Texas-1.430.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 28.7% | 22.2% | 15.4% | 11.8% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 8.2% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Cordelia Burn | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 1.4% |
| Sarah Young | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Bridget Green | 9.2% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Kyra Phelan | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Sofia Segalla | 8.5% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 12.5% | 17.2% | 7.3% |
| Tiare Sierra | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Mary Castellini | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 13.0% | 4.0% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 3.5% |
| Gianna Dewey | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 1.5% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 3.9% |
| Annika Milstien | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 14.3% | 19.1% | 10.7% |
| Sophia Herrada | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 10.8% | 66.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.