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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ocean County College2.88+1.72vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania3.63-0.07vs Predicted
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3Rutgers University1.95+0.78vs Predicted
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4Drexel University1.52+0.27vs Predicted
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5Princeton University2.90-2.22vs Predicted
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6Penn State University0.21-0.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.72Ocean County College2.880.2%1st Place
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1.93University of Pennsylvania3.630.5%1st Place
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3.78Rutgers University1.950.1%1st Place
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4.27Drexel University1.520.0%1st Place
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2.78Princeton University2.900.2%1st Place
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5.53Penn State University0.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Kennedy | 20.0% | 27.7% | 23.5% | 19.7% | 7.4% | 1.7% |
| Halsey Richartz | 46.3% | 25.7% | 18.6% | 7.7% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Cassie Botti | 8.7% | 11.4% | 16.3% | 28.2% | 27.8% | 7.6% |
| Andrew Bergan | 4.3% | 8.2% | 12.4% | 20.9% | 39.5% | 14.7% |
| Allison Tracy | 19.5% | 25.7% | 25.6% | 18.0% | 9.2% | 2.0% |
| Jarrett Scherrer | 1.2% | 1.3% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 14.5% | 73.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.