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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan Technological University0.97+2.03vs Predicted
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2Ohio State University0.09+3.49vs Predicted
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3Indiana University0.07+1.67vs Predicted
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4Grand Valley State University-0.76+2.91vs Predicted
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5Purdue University-1.03+2.52vs Predicted
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6University of Notre Dame-0.69+0.70vs Predicted
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7Northern Michigan University-0.57-0.67vs Predicted
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8Michigan State University0.02-3.28vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan-0.17-3.67vs Predicted
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10University of Michigan-1.64-0.95vs Predicted
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11Hope College-1.63-2.03vs Predicted
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12University of Iowa-3.00-1.72vs Predicted
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13Saginaw Valley State University-3.37-0.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.03Michigan Technological University0.9726.0%1st Place
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5.49Ohio State University0.098.9%1st Place
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4.67Indiana University0.0712.0%1st Place
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6.91Grand Valley State University-0.765.0%1st Place
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7.52Purdue University-1.034.6%1st Place
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6.7University of Notre Dame-0.695.7%1st Place
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6.33Northern Michigan University-0.577.8%1st Place
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4.72Michigan State University0.0213.6%1st Place
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5.33University of Michigan-0.179.7%1st Place
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9.05University of Michigan-1.642.7%1st Place
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8.97Hope College-1.632.1%1st Place
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10.28University of Iowa-3.001.6%1st Place
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12.01Saginaw Valley State University-3.370.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Rodenroth | 26.0% | 21.2% | 18.1% | 14.6% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Williams | 8.9% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Zander West | 12.0% | 14.6% | 12.8% | 11.4% | 12.8% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Garrett Szlachta | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 8.4% | 4.0% | 0.6% |
| Mathis Destouches | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 13.5% | 11.8% | 6.9% | 1.2% |
| Natalia Luna | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Julia Janssen | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 0.3% |
| Ella Beck | 13.6% | 14.2% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| John McCalmont | 9.7% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Max McCumber | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 16.9% | 19.1% | 7.1% |
| Kent Colbrunn | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 14.2% | 17.5% | 16.7% | 5.7% |
| Zachary Warren | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 15.2% | 29.3% | 18.7% |
| Piper Luke | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 7.3% | 14.5% | 65.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.