Race 8B

maritime-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Christopher Stessing 19.7% 17.1% 17.3% 13.0% 11.7% 7.7% 6.1% 4.6% 1.8% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Charles Peck 11.3% 13.7% 12.2% 12.8% 11.7% 10.7% 10.6% 7.8% 6.1% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1%
Julia Paxton 14.4% 12.1% 14.4% 11.2% 12.6% 11.6% 10.2% 7.4% 4.0% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0%
Duncan Howes 15.1% 17.5% 13.2% 13.5% 11.9% 9.6% 8.7% 6.0% 3.0% 1.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Lance Fraser 8.3% 8.2% 10.2% 9.9% 9.7% 12.9% 10.4% 11.3% 9.1% 6.3% 3.6% 0.1%
Liana Folger 13.2% 12.4% 10.9% 11.9% 13.5% 11.7% 9.3% 7.5% 6.1% 2.7% 0.8% 0.0%
Mary Margaret Meehan 4.3% 4.4% 3.7% 6.2% 6.4% 7.3% 10.3% 10.5% 13.9% 18.0% 12.3% 2.7%
Connor McGowan 5.6% 4.9% 6.5% 6.5% 6.9% 8.8% 10.3% 12.5% 15.7% 14.4% 6.2% 1.7%
Rudy Normann 4.2% 4.6% 5.8% 7.3% 8.7% 10.2% 11.2% 13.0% 13.0% 13.7% 7.6% 0.7%
Nicholas Woviotis 1.0% 2.3% 2.2% 3.1% 2.4% 2.3% 5.2% 6.7% 9.8% 15.6% 39.2% 10.2%
Matthew Winter 2.6% 2.6% 3.1% 4.2% 4.3% 6.7% 6.7% 11.3% 15.6% 19.6% 19.9% 3.4%
Sara Winkelman 0.3% 0.2% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.5% 1.0% 1.4% 1.9% 3.3% 9.3% 81.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.