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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1William and Mary-0.40+2.34vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech-0.03+0.89vs Predicted
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3University of Virginia-0.43+0.45vs Predicted
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4Penn State University-1.82+1.56vs Predicted
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5American University-1.49+0.09vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University0.41-3.70vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland-2.85-0.09vs Predicted
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8University of Virginia-2.55-1.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.34William and Mary-0.400.2%1st Place
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2.89Virginia Tech-0.030.2%1st Place
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3.45University of Virginia-0.430.2%1st Place
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5.56Penn State University-1.820.0%1st Place
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5.09American University-1.490.0%1st Place
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2.3North Carolina State University0.410.3%1st Place
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6.91University of Maryland-2.850.0%1st Place
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6.47University of Virginia-2.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte Stillman | 15.6% | 19.6% | 20.1% | 19.6% | 13.8% | 8.2% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Zachary Bender | 21.7% | 24.2% | 20.8% | 17.1% | 10.5% | 4.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Maxwell Penders | 17.2% | 14.2% | 19.1% | 20.6% | 17.2% | 8.9% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Nathan Mascia | 3.1% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 17.0% | 23.7% | 23.5% | 11.7% |
| Hannah Arey | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 13.4% | 21.8% | 24.0% | 16.2% | 6.1% |
| William Wheary | 34.8% | 27.2% | 19.8% | 11.7% | 5.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Fuller | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 6.8% | 11.7% | 21.2% | 51.7% |
| Anne Krieger | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 18.2% | 32.4% | 29.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.