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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University0.41+1.26vs Predicted
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2University of Virginia-0.43+1.48vs Predicted
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3William and Mary-0.40+0.40vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech-0.03-1.11vs Predicted
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5American University-1.49+0.07vs Predicted
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6Penn State University-1.82-0.46vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland-2.85-0.09vs Predicted
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8University of Virginia-2.55-1.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.26North Carolina State University0.410.4%1st Place
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3.48University of Virginia-0.430.1%1st Place
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3.4William and Mary-0.400.2%1st Place
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2.89Virginia Tech-0.030.2%1st Place
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5.07American University-1.490.0%1st Place
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5.54Penn State University-1.820.0%1st Place
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6.91University of Maryland-2.850.0%1st Place
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6.46University of Virginia-2.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Wheary | 37.9% | 25.8% | 18.2% | 11.1% | 4.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Maxwell Penders | 13.9% | 17.0% | 20.9% | 20.0% | 15.2% | 9.7% | 3.0% | 0.3% |
| Charlotte Stillman | 15.4% | 18.0% | 19.4% | 20.5% | 16.2% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
| Zachary Bender | 21.6% | 24.0% | 19.6% | 19.8% | 10.1% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Arey | 4.5% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 21.5% | 24.7% | 16.4% | 5.6% |
| Nathan Mascia | 3.7% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 10.3% | 17.2% | 25.6% | 20.8% | 12.1% |
| Caroline Fuller | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 23.6% | 51.1% |
| Anne Krieger | 1.4% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 7.8% | 18.0% | 31.3% | 30.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.