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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University0.41+1.25vs Predicted
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2University of Maryland-0.66+1.93vs Predicted
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3William and Mary-0.40+0.47vs Predicted
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4American University-1.49+1.27vs Predicted
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5University of Virginia-0.43-1.49vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech-1.08-1.44vs Predicted
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7Penn State University-1.82-1.18vs Predicted
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8University of Virginia-2.99-0.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.25North Carolina State University0.410.4%1st Place
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3.93University of Maryland-0.660.1%1st Place
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3.47William and Mary-0.400.2%1st Place
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5.27American University-1.490.1%1st Place
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3.51University of Virginia-0.430.1%1st Place
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4.56Virginia Tech-1.080.1%1st Place
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5.82Penn State University-1.820.0%1st Place
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7.18University of Virginia-2.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Wheary | 39.4% | 26.9% | 15.5% | 9.8% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Eli Leopold | 11.6% | 14.1% | 16.3% | 18.2% | 18.3% | 12.4% | 7.2% | 1.9% |
| Charlotte Stillman | 16.0% | 17.9% | 19.5% | 17.0% | 14.4% | 10.5% | 4.0% | 0.7% |
| Hannah Arey | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 15.4% | 20.5% | 23.0% | 9.9% |
| Maxwell Penders | 14.5% | 18.6% | 19.3% | 17.4% | 14.3% | 11.9% | 3.5% | 0.5% |
| Elizabeth Heckler | 8.4% | 9.5% | 13.0% | 15.0% | 17.5% | 18.1% | 14.1% | 4.4% |
| Nathan Mascia | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 17.8% | 29.9% | 18.1% |
| Robert Cantus | 0.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 17.3% | 64.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.