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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University0.41+1.24vs Predicted
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2William and Mary-0.40+1.47vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland-0.66+0.92vs Predicted
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4University of Virginia-0.43-0.43vs Predicted
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5American University-1.49+0.29vs Predicted
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6Penn State University-1.82-0.23vs Predicted
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7University of Virginia-2.99+0.20vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech-1.08-3.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.24North Carolina State University0.410.4%1st Place
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3.47William and Mary-0.400.2%1st Place
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3.92University of Maryland-0.660.1%1st Place
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3.57University of Virginia-0.430.2%1st Place
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5.29American University-1.490.0%1st Place
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5.77Penn State University-1.820.0%1st Place
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7.2University of Virginia-2.990.0%1st Place
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4.54Virginia Tech-1.080.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Wheary | 38.5% | 27.9% | 15.1% | 11.5% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Charlotte Stillman | 15.9% | 18.9% | 19.4% | 16.3% | 13.5% | 10.2% | 5.6% | 0.2% |
| Eli Leopold | 12.4% | 14.9% | 15.9% | 16.4% | 16.8% | 14.0% | 8.3% | 1.3% |
| Maxwell Penders | 15.3% | 16.3% | 19.9% | 16.9% | 14.8% | 10.8% | 5.1% | 0.9% |
| Hannah Arey | 4.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 12.6% | 13.9% | 22.0% | 23.2% | 9.1% |
| Nathan Mascia | 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 14.3% | 16.3% | 30.6% | 16.2% |
| Robert Cantus | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 13.9% | 67.5% |
| Elizabeth Heckler | 8.2% | 9.5% | 13.0% | 15.9% | 18.4% | 17.6% | 12.8% | 4.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.