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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University0.41+1.23vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech-0.03+0.87vs Predicted
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3University of Virginia-0.43+0.43vs Predicted
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4William and Mary-0.40-0.58vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland-2.85+1.78vs Predicted
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6American University-1.49-1.06vs Predicted
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7Penn State University-1.82-1.51vs Predicted
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8University of Virginia-2.99-1.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.23North Carolina State University0.410.4%1st Place
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2.87Virginia Tech-0.030.2%1st Place
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3.43University of Virginia-0.430.1%1st Place
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3.42William and Mary-0.400.2%1st Place
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6.78University of Maryland-2.850.0%1st Place
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4.94American University-1.490.1%1st Place
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5.49Penn State University-1.820.0%1st Place
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6.84University of Virginia-2.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Wheary | 36.9% | 28.0% | 18.9% | 9.7% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Bender | 21.5% | 24.1% | 22.2% | 16.5% | 10.3% | 4.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Maxwell Penders | 14.9% | 17.3% | 19.9% | 20.5% | 16.3% | 8.1% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Charlotte Stillman | 15.4% | 17.0% | 18.4% | 22.7% | 16.3% | 7.0% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
| Caroline Fuller | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 6.4% | 14.4% | 28.9% | 41.5% |
| Hannah Arey | 5.4% | 5.3% | 9.5% | 15.1% | 22.6% | 23.0% | 14.4% | 4.7% |
| Nathan Mascia | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 18.4% | 26.3% | 22.3% | 9.4% |
| Robert Cantus | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 14.7% | 28.1% | 43.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.