Race 9B

maritime-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

25.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Julia Paxton 13.0% 12.2% 13.5% 14.2% 12.5% 11.5% 9.3% 5.6% 4.8% 2.7% 0.7% 0.0%
Charles Peck 11.3% 12.3% 12.4% 13.3% 12.1% 10.5% 10.4% 8.6% 5.3% 2.6% 1.2% 0.0%
Liana Folger 12.2% 12.2% 14.0% 10.5% 11.7% 12.8% 10.7% 8.6% 4.4% 2.5% 0.4% 0.0%
Matthew Winter 2.6% 2.2% 3.4% 4.2% 5.3% 6.7% 9.3% 10.3% 15.0% 19.7% 19.0% 2.3%
Connor McGowan 4.1% 4.7% 6.0% 6.7% 8.0% 8.9% 10.9% 13.7% 13.2% 14.6% 7.4% 1.8%
Rudy Normann 4.7% 4.2% 6.4% 7.9% 6.3% 9.7% 10.3% 12.5% 16.2% 13.4% 7.6% 0.8%
Duncan Howes 15.8% 16.9% 14.4% 12.6% 12.0% 9.8% 8.7% 5.7% 2.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.1%
Lance Fraser 9.7% 9.6% 7.9% 11.0% 9.6% 10.0% 11.7% 12.4% 9.3% 5.9% 2.7% 0.2%
Christopher Stessing 20.6% 20.4% 15.0% 12.9% 12.3% 8.3% 5.4% 2.2% 2.3% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Mary Margaret Meehan 4.3% 3.6% 5.2% 4.7% 6.8% 7.9% 8.4% 13.0% 15.5% 16.7% 12.4% 1.5%
Nicholas Woviotis 1.4% 1.3% 1.7% 1.8% 2.7% 3.3% 4.3% 5.9% 9.2% 17.4% 38.9% 12.1%
Sara Winkelman 0.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.2% 0.7% 0.6% 0.6% 1.5% 2.0% 2.9% 9.5% 81.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.