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📊 Prediction Accuracy
69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan Technological University0.97+1.90vs Predicted
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2Grand Valley State University-0.76+4.85vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan-0.17+2.23vs Predicted
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4Ohio State University0.09+1.52vs Predicted
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5Indiana University0.07-0.33vs Predicted
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6Purdue University-1.03+1.48vs Predicted
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7University of Notre Dame-0.69-0.30vs Predicted
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8Michigan State University0.02-3.11vs Predicted
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9Hope College-1.63+0.06vs Predicted
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10University of Michigan-1.64-1.04vs Predicted
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11University of Iowa-3.00-0.66vs Predicted
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12Northern Michigan University-0.57-5.65vs Predicted
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13Saginaw Valley State University-3.37-0.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.9Michigan Technological University0.9728.7%1st Place
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6.85Grand Valley State University-0.765.5%1st Place
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5.23University of Michigan-0.179.4%1st Place
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5.52Ohio State University0.099.7%1st Place
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4.67Indiana University0.0713.5%1st Place
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7.48Purdue University-1.033.6%1st Place
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6.7University of Notre Dame-0.695.5%1st Place
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4.89Michigan State University0.0211.1%1st Place
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9.06Hope College-1.632.6%1st Place
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8.96University of Michigan-1.642.2%1st Place
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10.34University of Iowa-3.001.2%1st Place
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6.35Northern Michigan University-0.576.6%1st Place
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12.07Saginaw Valley State University-3.370.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Rodenroth | 28.7% | 22.8% | 17.5% | 11.8% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Garrett Szlachta | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 3.6% | 0.5% |
| John McCalmont | 9.4% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Emily Williams | 9.7% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Zander West | 13.5% | 12.2% | 13.3% | 13.1% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Mathis Destouches | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 6.6% | 1.7% |
| Natalia Luna | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 3.2% | 0.5% |
| Ella Beck | 11.1% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Kent Colbrunn | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 14.1% | 17.2% | 18.6% | 6.5% |
| Max McCumber | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 12.9% | 20.1% | 15.8% | 6.3% |
| Zachary Warren | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 10.1% | 14.1% | 33.0% | 17.2% |
| Julia Janssen | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| Piper Luke | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 6.7% | 14.0% | 67.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.