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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan Technological University0.97+2.02vs Predicted
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2Michigan State University0.02+2.86vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University0.09+2.54vs Predicted
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4Grand Valley State University-0.36+1.63vs Predicted
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5Indiana University0.07-0.22vs Predicted
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6Northern Michigan University-0.57+0.31vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan-1.64+1.93vs Predicted
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8University of Notre Dame-0.69-1.39vs Predicted
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9Purdue University-1.03-1.53vs Predicted
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10University of Michigan-0.17-4.77vs Predicted
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11Hope College-1.63-2.21vs Predicted
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12Saginaw Valley State University-3.37-0.30vs Predicted
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13Unknown School-3.81-0.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.02Michigan Technological University0.9729.0%1st Place
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4.86Michigan State University0.0211.8%1st Place
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5.54Ohio State University0.098.2%1st Place
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5.63Grand Valley State University-0.368.8%1st Place
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4.78Indiana University0.0710.9%1st Place
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6.31Northern Michigan University-0.576.0%1st Place
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8.93University of Michigan-1.641.6%1st Place
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6.61University of Notre Dame-0.695.8%1st Place
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7.47Purdue University-1.034.5%1st Place
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5.23University of Michigan-0.1710.6%1st Place
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8.79Hope College-1.632.2%1st Place
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11.7Saginaw Valley State University-3.370.4%1st Place
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12.14Unknown School-3.810.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Rodenroth | 29.0% | 21.4% | 16.2% | 11.8% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ella Beck | 11.8% | 12.4% | 13.1% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Emily Williams | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Reid Kwiatkowski | 8.8% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Zander West | 10.9% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 14.0% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Julia Janssen | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Max McCumber | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 17.6% | 24.6% | 11.8% | 2.6% |
| Natalia Luna | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 6.9% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Mathis Destouches | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 13.7% | 13.9% | 12.4% | 5.0% | 0.3% |
| John McCalmont | 10.6% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kent Colbrunn | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 16.3% | 23.6% | 11.8% | 1.8% |
| Piper Luke | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 5.0% | 9.0% | 40.5% | 37.0% |
| John Woodward | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 6.9% | 26.1% | 58.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.