Race 10B

maritime-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Duncan Howes 14.4% 15.8% 14.2% 15.9% 10.9% 10.3% 8.5% 4.9% 3.1% 1.6% 0.4% 0.0%
Charles Peck 11.4% 12.2% 12.8% 12.2% 12.4% 12.7% 10.4% 6.7% 6.1% 2.1% 1.0% 0.0%
Lance Fraser 9.7% 7.2% 8.1% 10.8% 9.7% 13.1% 11.0% 12.1% 10.7% 5.2% 2.3% 0.1%
Liana Folger 11.9% 12.4% 13.9% 12.6% 11.4% 10.1% 10.8% 8.2% 5.8% 2.4% 0.4% 0.1%
Connor McGowan 4.7% 4.6% 5.5% 5.8% 8.2% 9.5% 10.9% 12.5% 12.6% 14.9% 9.1% 1.7%
Christopher Stessing 19.3% 20.9% 15.0% 12.4% 13.6% 6.3% 5.6% 4.4% 1.4% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Rudy Normann 5.1% 5.9% 6.5% 6.0% 8.1% 10.2% 9.8% 12.5% 13.6% 12.9% 8.4% 1.0%
Julia Paxton 15.1% 14.0% 14.0% 11.3% 12.6% 10.4% 8.7% 7.0% 4.0% 1.7% 1.2% 0.0%
Nicholas Woviotis 1.0% 1.6% 1.6% 2.2% 2.0% 3.2% 5.0% 7.8% 11.2% 17.0% 38.5% 8.9%
Matthew Winter 3.2% 3.1% 4.0% 3.9% 5.2% 6.3% 9.1% 9.9% 15.0% 20.3% 17.4% 2.6%
Mary Margaret Meehan 3.9% 2.0% 4.0% 6.4% 5.7% 7.3% 9.9% 12.6% 14.1% 18.0% 13.4% 2.7%
Sara Winkelman 0.3% 0.3% 0.4% 0.5% 0.2% 0.6% 0.3% 1.4% 2.4% 2.9% 7.8% 82.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.