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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.2
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Indiana University0.82+0.39vs Predicted
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2Indiana University-0.26+0.07vs Predicted
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3University of Notre Dame-1.08-0.34vs Predicted
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4Saint Mary's College-3.44-0.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.39Indiana University0.820.7%1st Place
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2.07Indiana University-0.260.2%1st Place
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2.66University of Notre Dame-1.080.1%1st Place
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3.89Saint Mary's College-3.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nithya Balachander | 67.4% | 26.8% | 5.4% | 0.4% |
| Bryce Lesinski | 22.0% | 50.4% | 26.4% | 1.2% |
| Chris Mikesell | 10.3% | 21.1% | 61.0% | 7.6% |
| Emmalyn Holmquist | 0.3% | 1.7% | 7.2% | 90.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.