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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Indiana University-0.26+1.07vs Predicted
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2University of Notre Dame-1.08+0.64vs Predicted
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3Indiana University0.82-1.59vs Predicted
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4Saint Mary's College-3.44-0.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.07Indiana University-0.260.2%1st Place
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2.64University of Notre Dame-1.080.1%1st Place
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1.41Indiana University0.820.7%1st Place
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3.88Saint Mary's College-3.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Lesinski | 23.7% | 48.0% | 25.7% | 2.6% |
| Chris Mikesell | 10.7% | 21.3% | 61.6% | 6.4% |
| Nithya Balachander | 65.4% | 28.6% | 5.7% | 0.3% |
| Emmalyn Holmquist | 0.2% | 2.1% | 7.0% | 90.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.