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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.3
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame0.19+0.35vs Predicted
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2Indiana University-1.27+0.32vs Predicted
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3Indiana University-1.36-0.57vs Predicted
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4Saint Mary's College-4.09-0.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.35University of Notre Dame0.190.7%1st Place
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2.32Indiana University-1.270.2%1st Place
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2.43Indiana University-1.360.1%1st Place
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3.9Saint Mary's College-4.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payden Pittman | 70.3% | 24.8% | 4.5% | 0.4% |
| Zander West | 15.5% | 39.1% | 43.1% | 2.3% |
| Kurt Weisenfluh | 13.8% | 34.1% | 47.2% | 4.9% |
| Charlotte McIlnay | 0.4% | 2.0% | 5.2% | 92.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.