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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame0.19+0.38vs Predicted
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2University of Toledo-4.28+2.45vs Predicted
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3Indiana University-1.36-0.58vs Predicted
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4Indiana University-1.27-1.59vs Predicted
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5Saint Mary's College-4.09-0.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.38University of Notre Dame0.190.7%1st Place
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4.45University of Toledo-4.280.0%1st Place
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2.42Indiana University-1.360.1%1st Place
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2.41Indiana University-1.270.2%1st Place
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4.34Saint Mary's College-4.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payden Pittman | 68.6% | 25.2% | 5.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Cooper Avery | 0.9% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 39.8% | 54.3% |
| Kurt Weisenfluh | 14.7% | 35.4% | 43.6% | 5.8% | 0.5% |
| Zander West | 15.2% | 36.1% | 41.4% | 6.7% | 0.6% |
| Charlotte McIlnay | 0.6% | 1.5% | 6.1% | 47.3% | 44.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.