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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.4
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame0.19+0.35vs Predicted
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2Indiana University-1.36+0.39vs Predicted
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3Indiana University-1.27-0.63vs Predicted
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4Saint Mary's College-4.09-0.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.35University of Notre Dame0.190.7%1st Place
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2.39Indiana University-1.360.1%1st Place
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2.37Indiana University-1.270.1%1st Place
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3.89Saint Mary's College-4.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payden Pittman | 70.2% | 25.0% | 4.4% | 0.4% |
| Kurt Weisenfluh | 14.4% | 35.2% | 47.7% | 2.7% |
| Zander West | 15.0% | 37.7% | 42.7% | 4.6% |
| Charlotte McIlnay | 0.4% | 2.1% | 5.2% | 92.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.