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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan Technological University0.97+2.08vs Predicted
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2Indiana University0.07+2.62vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University0.09+2.45vs Predicted
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4Grand Valley State University-0.36+1.57vs Predicted
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5Michigan State University0.02-0.22vs Predicted
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6Northern Michigan University-0.57+0.32vs Predicted
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7Purdue University-1.03+0.55vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan-1.64+1.06vs Predicted
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9University of Notre Dame-0.69-2.29vs Predicted
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10University of Michigan-0.17-4.73vs Predicted
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11Hope College-1.63-2.15vs Predicted
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12Saginaw Valley State University-3.37-0.36vs Predicted
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13Unknown School-3.81-0.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.08Michigan Technological University0.9726.1%1st Place
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4.62Indiana University0.0713.2%1st Place
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5.45Ohio State University0.0910.2%1st Place
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5.57Grand Valley State University-0.369.1%1st Place
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4.78Michigan State University0.0211.9%1st Place
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6.32Northern Michigan University-0.575.9%1st Place
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7.55Purdue University-1.033.6%1st Place
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9.06University of Michigan-1.641.9%1st Place
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6.71University of Notre Dame-0.695.9%1st Place
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5.27University of Michigan-0.178.6%1st Place
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8.85Hope College-1.632.9%1st Place
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11.64Saginaw Valley State University-3.370.3%1st Place
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12.1Unknown School-3.810.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Rodenroth | 26.1% | 21.6% | 17.2% | 13.2% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zander West | 13.2% | 13.7% | 11.7% | 14.1% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Williams | 10.2% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Reid Kwiatkowski | 9.1% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ella Beck | 11.9% | 13.0% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Julia Janssen | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Mathis Destouches | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 14.3% | 14.1% | 13.4% | 4.1% | 0.2% |
| Max McCumber | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 19.0% | 25.7% | 11.5% | 2.1% |
| Natalia Luna | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 7.2% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| John McCalmont | 8.6% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Kent Colbrunn | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 17.0% | 24.0% | 12.8% | 2.1% |
| Piper Luke | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 5.0% | 8.9% | 38.9% | 37.4% |
| John Woodward | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 5.2% | 28.1% | 57.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.