Race 11B

maritime-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Liana Folger 11.7% 12.0% 12.0% 13.7% 10.7% 11.4% 12.0% 7.3% 6.4% 1.8% 0.7% 0.3%
Rudy Normann 4.1% 4.1% 6.6% 7.2% 9.1% 8.1% 9.5% 15.2% 13.2% 14.1% 8.0% 0.8%
Duncan Howes 15.9% 15.2% 14.2% 12.2% 11.9% 11.8% 9.1% 5.9% 2.5% 0.8% 0.5% 0.0%
Charles Peck 11.8% 12.1% 13.9% 13.1% 11.7% 11.2% 9.9% 6.9% 6.0% 2.8% 0.6% 0.0%
Christopher Stessing 18.5% 22.3% 14.8% 11.3% 12.8% 8.0% 4.9% 4.0% 2.0% 0.9% 0.5% 0.0%
Julia Paxton 14.4% 12.5% 14.2% 13.3% 11.8% 9.7% 9.7% 6.9% 4.8% 1.7% 1.0% 0.0%
Matthew Winter 3.6% 3.1% 3.7% 4.9% 5.5% 7.5% 7.4% 9.3% 14.8% 18.5% 18.2% 3.5%
Connor McGowan 5.8% 5.3% 5.9% 6.3% 7.1% 9.2% 9.3% 10.8% 15.2% 15.3% 8.8% 1.0%
Nicholas Woviotis 1.4% 1.2% 1.5% 1.7% 2.6% 2.8% 5.8% 7.9% 9.6% 16.6% 38.9% 10.0%
Mary Margaret Meehan 4.1% 4.4% 4.3% 4.7% 6.2% 7.7% 9.5% 12.6% 14.5% 18.0% 11.6% 2.4%
Sara Winkelman 0.5% 0.3% 0.3% 0.4% 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 1.0% 1.7% 3.2% 9.1% 81.7%
Lance Fraser 8.2% 7.5% 8.6% 11.2% 10.0% 12.0% 12.3% 12.2% 9.3% 6.3% 2.1% 0.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.