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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.53+8.14vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.10+4.90vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.00+8.21vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.33+1.83vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.13+5.38vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.10+0.68vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University2.17+3.27vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.81-0.25vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.99-1.93vs Predicted
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10Stanford University3.53-4.60vs Predicted
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11Fordham University2.35-1.27vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.43-2.31vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College-0.23+3.66vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-4.80vs Predicted
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15Yale University3.12-8.38vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan1.64-3.68vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.07-2.81vs Predicted
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18Boston University1.69-6.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.14Boston College2.530.1%1st Place
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6.9Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
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11.21Northeastern University2.000.0%1st Place
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5.83Brown University3.330.1%1st Place
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10.38University of Pennsylvania2.130.0%1st Place
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6.68College of Charleston3.100.1%1st Place
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10.27Jacksonville University2.170.0%1st Place
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7.75Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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7.07U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
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5.4Stanford University3.530.1%1st Place
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9.73Fordham University2.350.1%1st Place
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9.69Tufts University2.430.0%1st Place
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16.66SUNY Maritime College-0.230.0%1st Place
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9.2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.0%1st Place
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6.62Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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12.32University of Michigan1.640.0%1st Place
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14.19U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.070.0%1st Place
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11.95Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Kirkman | 5.1% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Carlos de Castro | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 1.4% |
| Guthrie Braun | 11.9% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cole Woodworth | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 1.9% |
| Noah Zittrer | 8.3% | 10.5% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Owen Bannasch | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 1.4% |
| Thomas Hall | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Smith | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Sitzmann | 14.1% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Zils | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Ben Mueller | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 0.7% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 12.1% | 67.1% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 0.7% |
| Jack Egan | 8.0% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Braden Vogel | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 12.7% | 13.0% | 5.7% |
| Reed McAllister | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 14.3% | 27.5% | 14.3% |
| Noah Robitshek | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 14.1% | 10.5% | 4.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.