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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.53+4.42vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.10+4.94vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.10+3.89vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.53+4.73vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University2.17+5.20vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.99+1.18vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.33-1.08vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39+1.34vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan1.64+3.31vs Predicted
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10Fordham University2.35-0.13vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.81-2.99vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.69+0.39vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.43-3.85vs Predicted
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14Yale University3.12-7.56vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania2.13-4.58vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University2.00-4.96vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College-0.23-0.15vs Predicted
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18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.07-4.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.42Stanford University3.530.1%1st Place
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6.94Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
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6.89College of Charleston3.100.1%1st Place
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8.73Boston College2.530.1%1st Place
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10.2Jacksonville University2.170.0%1st Place
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7.18U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
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5.92Brown University3.330.1%1st Place
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9.34Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.0%1st Place
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12.31University of Michigan1.640.0%1st Place
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9.87Fordham University2.350.0%1st Place
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8.01Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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12.39Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
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9.15Tufts University2.430.1%1st Place
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6.44Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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10.42University of Pennsylvania2.130.0%1st Place
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11.04Northeastern University2.000.0%1st Place
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16.85SUNY Maritime College-0.230.0%1st Place
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13.91U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Sitzmann | 12.5% | 13.5% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carlos de Castro | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Noah Zittrer | 8.2% | 6.7% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Michael Kirkman | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 0.2% |
| Owen Bannasch | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 5.3% | 1.0% |
| Nathan Smith | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Guthrie Braun | 11.1% | 12.0% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Braden Vogel | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 14.3% | 12.6% | 4.6% |
| Jacob Zils | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 0.6% |
| Thomas Hall | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Noah Robitshek | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 15.1% | 5.3% |
| Ben Mueller | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| Jack Egan | 9.7% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Cole Woodworth | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 1.5% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 1.8% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 10.5% | 71.2% |
| Reed McAllister | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 14.1% | 25.3% | 11.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.