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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.30+0.46vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii0.99+1.69vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles1.30+0.49vs Predicted
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4University of Washington-1.39+1.11vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-1.41+3.18vs Predicted
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6Arizona State University-0.39+0.96vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley-0.56-0.53vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University0.31-2.83vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara0.06-3.56vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis-2.16-0.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.46Stanford University3.3065.3%1st Place
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3.69University of Hawaii0.999.8%1st Place
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3.49University of California at Los Angeles1.309.7%1st Place
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5.11University of Washington-1.394.2%1st Place
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8.18University of California at San Diego-1.410.4%1st Place
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6.96Arizona State University-0.391.7%1st Place
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6.47University of California at Berkeley-0.561.4%1st Place
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5.17Western Washington University0.314.1%1st Place
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5.44University of California at Santa Barbara0.063.2%1st Place
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9.03University of California at Davis-2.160.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 65.3% | 26.2% | 6.0% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 9.8% | 19.2% | 21.4% | 18.1% | 14.3% | 10.7% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Marianna Shand | 9.7% | 20.9% | 25.1% | 19.1% | 13.1% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Emily Smith | 4.2% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 17.2% | 17.8% | 14.1% | 8.7% | 4.0% | 0.5% |
| Cassie Halaszynski | 0.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 15.9% | 33.5% | 25.7% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.7% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 16.1% | 23.0% | 19.7% | 7.4% |
| Victoria Chen | 1.4% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 14.1% | 17.4% | 19.6% | 13.7% | 4.5% |
| Ellie Blakemore | 4.1% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 14.8% | 15.5% | 16.1% | 16.2% | 9.5% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Juliet St. Germain | 3.2% | 6.9% | 11.2% | 13.1% | 14.6% | 15.8% | 16.0% | 12.8% | 5.2% | 1.2% |
| Claire Desbaillets | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 7.6% | 19.3% | 59.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.