Race 12B

maritime-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Christopher Stessing 19.1% 18.2% 15.5% 14.0% 12.0% 8.5% 6.3% 3.5% 2.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
Charles Peck 11.7% 13.6% 12.2% 11.3% 14.1% 10.2% 9.1% 9.2% 4.8% 3.2% 0.6% 0.0%
Duncan Howes 15.9% 14.4% 15.1% 13.0% 11.7% 12.1% 7.9% 5.4% 2.5% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
Connor McGowan 3.7% 4.8% 6.1% 6.9% 7.8% 9.1% 10.6% 12.7% 15.7% 12.0% 9.6% 1.0%
Liana Folger 12.6% 13.1% 12.1% 12.9% 10.6% 11.5% 10.3% 7.4% 5.3% 2.9% 1.2% 0.1%
Matthew Winter 3.0% 2.5% 4.1% 4.5% 4.8% 6.4% 7.3% 10.6% 15.5% 19.4% 19.1% 2.8%
Lance Fraser 9.0% 9.3% 8.2% 10.4% 11.1% 11.0% 12.0% 11.7% 8.7% 6.0% 2.4% 0.2%
Rudy Normann 5.8% 4.9% 6.6% 7.0% 6.3% 8.9% 10.9% 12.7% 14.8% 12.0% 9.1% 1.0%
Nicholas Woviotis 1.4% 1.7% 1.2% 1.8% 2.7% 2.9% 6.3% 6.5% 8.5% 19.5% 37.8% 9.7%
Mary Margaret Meehan 4.1% 3.9% 4.8% 4.9% 6.9% 7.3% 8.8% 11.8% 16.4% 17.5% 11.4% 2.2%
Sara Winkelman 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.3% 1.0% 0.4% 0.9% 0.9% 1.6% 3.4% 7.7% 82.7%
Julia Paxton 13.3% 13.2% 13.8% 13.0% 11.0% 11.7% 9.6% 7.6% 4.2% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.