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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University2.17+8.29vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.53+6.01vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.43+5.48vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.53+0.76vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.33+0.20vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.13+3.77vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.99-0.56vs Predicted
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8Fordham University2.35+0.68vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University3.10-2.79vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.09-0.28vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.00-0.83vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan1.64-0.69vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.07+0.21vs Predicted
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14Yale University3.12-7.86vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.69-3.92vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-7.34vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College-0.23-1.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.29Jacksonville University2.170.0%1st Place
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8.01Boston College2.530.1%1st Place
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8.48Tufts University2.430.1%1st Place
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4.76Stanford University3.530.2%1st Place
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5.2Brown University3.330.1%1st Place
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9.77University of Pennsylvania2.130.0%1st Place
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6.44U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
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8.68Fordham University2.350.1%1st Place
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6.21Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
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9.72Bowdoin College2.090.0%1st Place
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10.17Northeastern University2.000.0%1st Place
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11.31University of Michigan1.640.0%1st Place
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13.21U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.070.0%1st Place
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6.14Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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11.08Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
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8.66Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.0%1st Place
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15.87SUNY Maritime College-0.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Bannasch | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 1.2% |
| Michael Kirkman | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Ben Mueller | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Thomas Sitzmann | 15.2% | 15.9% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Guthrie Braun | 13.9% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cole Woodworth | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 1.3% |
| Nathan Smith | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Zils | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 9.8% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 0.2% |
| Carlos de Castro | 8.6% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 1.5% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 1.9% |
| Braden Vogel | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 13.7% | 12.2% | 4.8% |
| Reed McAllister | 1.2% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 12.4% | 26.0% | 15.6% |
| Jack Egan | 9.3% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Noah Robitshek | 2.4% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 12.8% | 3.9% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 3.6% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 0.4% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 11.9% | 68.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.