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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.63+5.95vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.44+5.64vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.45+4.63vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.30+3.90vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.29-0.41vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.55+1.03vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston2.35+0.79vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.68+2.26vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.60+1.66vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University1.61+0.92vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.93-1.46vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania2.06-2.75vs Predicted
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13Stanford University2.79-6.94vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.23-6.02vs Predicted
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150.53-0.74vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College-0.06-0.21vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-1.98vs Predicted
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18Fordham University1.27-6.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.95Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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7.64Boston College2.440.1%1st Place
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7.63Bowdoin College2.450.1%1st Place
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7.9Roger Williams University2.300.1%1st Place
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4.59Yale University3.290.2%1st Place
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7.03U. S. Naval Academy2.550.1%1st Place
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7.79College of Charleston2.350.1%1st Place
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10.26Northeastern University1.680.0%1st Place
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10.66Boston University1.600.0%1st Place
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10.92Jacksonville University1.610.0%1st Place
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9.54Tufts University1.930.0%1st Place
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9.25University of Pennsylvania2.060.0%1st Place
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6.06Stanford University2.790.1%1st Place
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7.98Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.230.1%1st Place
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14.260.530.0%1st Place
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15.79SUNY Maritime College-0.060.0%1st Place
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15.02U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.0%1st Place
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11.74Fordham University1.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Stang | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Peter Busch | 5.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Sam Bonauto | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Stephan Baker | 18.5% | 14.8% | 12.5% | 11.4% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Welburn | 8.4% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Sam Monaghan | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 4.2% | 1.0% |
| Porter Bell | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 1.5% |
| Patrick Igoe | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 1.7% |
| Clark Morris | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| Sofia Segalla | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Reade Decker | 10.2% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| JJ Klempen | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Jack Homa | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 11.0% | 14.0% | 22.4% | 16.9% |
| Luke Barker | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 6.7% | 10.6% | 20.2% | 43.3% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 8.0% | 14.5% | 22.2% | 28.5% |
| Patrick Shachoy | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 8.3% | 3.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.