Race 13B

maritime-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Duncan Howes 14.9% 13.6% 16.4% 12.8% 14.8% 9.3% 7.7% 5.6% 2.9% 1.3% 0.6% 0.1%
Liana Folger 11.8% 12.4% 12.3% 13.5% 12.3% 11.3% 10.0% 7.6% 6.5% 1.7% 0.6% 0.0%
Rudy Normann 5.6% 5.2% 5.4% 6.8% 8.3% 6.8% 11.1% 12.7% 16.9% 12.1% 8.6% 0.5%
Lance Fraser 6.3% 9.4% 11.0% 8.8% 11.8% 12.3% 11.3% 10.2% 9.9% 6.0% 2.6% 0.4%
Charles Peck 12.0% 12.0% 13.5% 12.8% 10.5% 11.9% 10.4% 7.4% 5.5% 2.6% 1.2% 0.2%
Matthew Winter 3.2% 2.3% 3.4% 5.6% 5.7% 4.1% 8.1% 11.9% 13.0% 22.1% 17.8% 2.8%
Christopher Stessing 20.6% 19.7% 14.5% 13.0% 9.9% 10.5% 5.8% 3.4% 1.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Julia Paxton 16.1% 14.5% 11.5% 12.4% 10.5% 11.5% 8.9% 7.1% 4.2% 2.0% 1.2% 0.1%
Connor McGowan 3.8% 4.6% 5.5% 8.4% 7.4% 10.3% 11.7% 15.5% 12.6% 13.2% 6.4% 0.6%
Mary Margaret Meehan 4.1% 4.4% 4.9% 3.9% 6.5% 7.2% 10.4% 11.7% 15.5% 16.5% 13.4% 1.5%
Nicholas Woviotis 1.3% 1.6% 1.3% 1.7% 1.9% 4.2% 3.8% 6.0% 9.5% 17.6% 39.1% 12.0%
Sara Winkelman 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.4% 0.6% 0.8% 0.9% 1.8% 4.1% 8.4% 81.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.