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📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.30+0.48vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii0.99+1.66vs Predicted
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3University of Washington-1.39+2.19vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara0.06+1.41vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles1.30-1.56vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University0.31-0.94vs Predicted
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7Arizona State University-0.39-0.04vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley-0.56-1.39vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-1.41-0.75vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis-2.16-1.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.48Stanford University3.3066.5%1st Place
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3.66University of Hawaii0.999.0%1st Place
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5.19University of Washington-1.394.1%1st Place
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5.41University of California at Santa Barbara0.063.5%1st Place
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3.44University of California at Los Angeles1.3010.3%1st Place
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5.06Western Washington University0.313.2%1st Place
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6.96Arizona State University-0.391.2%1st Place
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6.61University of California at Berkeley-0.561.3%1st Place
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8.25University of California at San Diego-1.410.4%1st Place
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8.94University of California at Davis-2.160.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 66.5% | 22.7% | 7.6% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 9.0% | 20.3% | 21.4% | 19.4% | 14.6% | 8.8% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Emily Smith | 4.1% | 7.8% | 12.0% | 14.3% | 14.4% | 17.5% | 15.5% | 9.4% | 4.2% | 0.6% |
| Juliet St. Germain | 3.5% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 13.9% | 16.8% | 16.3% | 12.4% | 5.1% | 0.9% |
| Marianna Shand | 10.3% | 22.8% | 23.5% | 18.4% | 12.8% | 7.5% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ellie Blakemore | 3.2% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 14.5% | 17.9% | 15.7% | 14.2% | 8.6% | 3.5% | 0.6% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.2% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 15.7% | 21.9% | 19.7% | 7.6% |
| Victoria Chen | 1.3% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 10.4% | 14.5% | 16.9% | 20.2% | 15.9% | 4.6% |
| Cassie Halaszynski | 0.4% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 9.3% | 15.1% | 31.7% | 28.2% |
| Claire Desbaillets | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 8.6% | 19.4% | 57.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.