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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.05+4.59vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.35+6.15vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.66+7.79vs Predicted
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4Fordham University2.01+5.11vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.45+2.50vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.68+4.47vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.29-2.27vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.06+0.93vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.44-1.45vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.55-2.68vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.60-0.08vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.30-3.54vs Predicted
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13Stanford University2.79-6.79vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+0.68vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.23-6.70vs Predicted
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16Jacksonville University1.61-5.17vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan-0.22-1.03vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College-0.06-2.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.59Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
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8.15College of Charleston2.350.0%1st Place
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10.79Tufts University1.660.0%1st Place
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9.11Fordham University2.010.0%1st Place
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7.5Bowdoin College2.450.1%1st Place
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10.47Northeastern University1.680.0%1st Place
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4.73Yale University3.290.2%1st Place
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8.93University of Pennsylvania2.060.0%1st Place
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7.55Boston College2.440.1%1st Place
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7.32U. S. Naval Academy2.550.1%1st Place
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10.92Boston University1.600.0%1st Place
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8.46Roger Williams University2.300.1%1st Place
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6.21Stanford University2.790.1%1st Place
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14.68U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.0%1st Place
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8.3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.230.1%1st Place
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10.83Jacksonville University1.610.0%1st Place
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15.97University of Michigan-0.220.0%1st Place
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15.49SUNY Maritime College-0.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Behrens | 12.1% | 12.2% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Wyatt Bischoff | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 3.9% | 1.5% |
| Lucas Thress | 4.1% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Sam Bonauto | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Sam Monaghan | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 4.2% | 1.2% |
| Stephan Baker | 16.1% | 16.1% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sofia Segalla | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Peter Busch | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jack Welburn | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Porter Bell | 4.0% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 1.8% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Reade Decker | 10.5% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 19.9% | 21.0% | 20.2% |
| JJ Klempen | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Igoe | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 1.1% |
| Jack Hammett | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 10.4% | 24.3% | 42.4% |
| Luke Barker | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 15.2% | 27.2% | 30.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.