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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.05+4.04vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.44+5.06vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.29+1.46vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.66+5.92vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.45+1.94vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.55+0.91vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.30+0.61vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.68+1.65vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.23-0.99vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.79-4.14vs Predicted
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11Fordham University2.01-2.20vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+1.93vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University1.61-2.78vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania2.06-5.39vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.60-4.89vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan-0.22-0.90vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College-0.06-2.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.04Brown University3.050.2%1st Place
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7.06Boston College2.440.1%1st Place
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4.46Yale University3.290.2%1st Place
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9.92Tufts University1.660.0%1st Place
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6.94Bowdoin College2.450.1%1st Place
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6.91U. S. Naval Academy2.550.1%1st Place
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7.61Roger Williams University2.300.1%1st Place
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9.65Northeastern University1.680.0%1st Place
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8.01Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.230.1%1st Place
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5.86Stanford University2.790.1%1st Place
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8.8Fordham University2.010.1%1st Place
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13.93U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.0%1st Place
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10.22Jacksonville University1.610.0%1st Place
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8.61University of Pennsylvania2.060.0%1st Place
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10.11Boston University1.600.0%1st Place
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15.1University of Michigan-0.220.0%1st Place
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14.76SUNY Maritime College-0.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Behrens | 15.2% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Busch | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Stephan Baker | 16.4% | 16.6% | 12.5% | 12.6% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wyatt Bischoff | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 1.0% |
| Sam Bonauto | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 10.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Jack Welburn | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Sam Monaghan | 4.5% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 1.0% |
| JJ Klempen | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Reade Decker | 10.1% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Lucas Thress | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 8.9% | 16.0% | 25.0% | 21.0% |
| Patrick Igoe | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 1.6% |
| Sofia Segalla | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Porter Bell | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 4.6% | 1.3% |
| Jack Hammett | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 6.0% | 13.6% | 23.8% | 40.3% |
| Luke Barker | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 7.3% | 14.7% | 24.8% | 33.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.