← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University3.05+4.00vs Predicted
-
2Yale University3.29+2.36vs Predicted
-
3Boston College2.44+4.16vs Predicted
-
4Bowdoin College2.45+3.13vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Naval Academy2.55+1.58vs Predicted
-
6Roger Williams University2.30+1.82vs Predicted
-
7University of Pennsylvania2.06+1.53vs Predicted
-
8Tufts University1.66+1.71vs Predicted
-
9Stanford University2.79-2.91vs Predicted
-
10Boston University1.60+0.04vs Predicted
-
11Fordham University2.01-2.15vs Predicted
-
12Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.23-4.15vs Predicted
-
13Jacksonville University1.61-2.79vs Predicted
-
14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+0.02vs Predicted
-
15University of Michigan-0.22-0.06vs Predicted
-
16Northeastern University1.68-6.06vs Predicted
-
17SUNY Maritime College-0.06-2.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.0Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
-
4.36Yale University3.290.2%1st Place
-
7.16Boston College2.440.1%1st Place
-
7.13Bowdoin College2.450.1%1st Place
-
6.58U. S. Naval Academy2.550.1%1st Place
-
7.82Roger Williams University2.300.1%1st Place
-
8.53University of Pennsylvania2.060.1%1st Place
-
9.71Tufts University1.660.0%1st Place
-
6.09Stanford University2.790.1%1st Place
-
10.04Boston University1.600.0%1st Place
-
8.85Fordham University2.010.0%1st Place
-
7.85Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.230.1%1st Place
-
10.21Jacksonville University1.610.0%1st Place
-
14.02U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.0%1st Place
-
14.94University of Michigan-0.220.0%1st Place
-
9.94Northeastern University1.680.0%1st Place
-
14.78SUNY Maritime College-0.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Behrens | 14.8% | 13.4% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephan Baker | 17.5% | 16.4% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Busch | 7.2% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Sam Bonauto | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Jack Welburn | 8.0% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Sofia Segalla | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Wyatt Bischoff | 4.7% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 4.0% | 1.0% |
| Reade Decker | 8.0% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Porter Bell | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
| Lucas Thress | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| JJ Klempen | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Igoe | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 4.2% | 2.4% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 17.1% | 26.0% | 20.3% |
| Jack Hammett | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 5.8% | 11.4% | 25.0% | 39.8% |
| Sam Monaghan | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 5.4% | 0.7% |
| Luke Barker | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 14.2% | 25.5% | 32.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.