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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.29+3.24vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.06+6.38vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.66+6.90vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.05+1.13vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.44+1.94vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.45+1.18vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.55-0.31vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.23-0.35vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.30-1.21vs Predicted
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10Fordham University2.01-1.48vs Predicted
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11Stanford University2.55-4.18vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University1.61-2.07vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+0.98vs Predicted
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14Boston University1.60-3.80vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.68-5.22vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College-0.06-1.20vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan-0.22-1.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.24Yale University3.290.2%1st Place
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8.38University of Pennsylvania2.060.1%1st Place
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9.9Tufts University1.660.0%1st Place
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5.13Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
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6.94Boston College2.440.1%1st Place
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7.18Bowdoin College2.450.1%1st Place
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6.69U. S. Naval Academy2.550.1%1st Place
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7.65Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.230.1%1st Place
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7.79Roger Williams University2.300.1%1st Place
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8.52Fordham University2.010.0%1st Place
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6.82Stanford University2.550.1%1st Place
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9.93Jacksonville University1.610.0%1st Place
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13.98U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.0%1st Place
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10.2Boston University1.600.0%1st Place
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9.78Northeastern University1.680.0%1st Place
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14.8SUNY Maritime College-0.060.0%1st Place
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15.06University of Michigan-0.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephan Baker | 20.1% | 14.6% | 13.5% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sofia Segalla | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Wyatt Bischoff | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 8.2% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
| Blake Behrens | 13.9% | 13.1% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Busch | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Sam Bonauto | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Jack Welburn | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| JJ Klempen | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Lucas Thress | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Lucas Woodworth | 9.6% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Igoe | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 3.6% | 1.6% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 19.2% | 24.2% | 21.4% |
| Porter Bell | 2.0% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 1.1% |
| Sam Monaghan | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 0.8% |
| Luke Barker | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 14.1% | 27.0% | 32.0% |
| Jack Hammett | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 11.5% | 24.3% | 40.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.