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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.05+3.79vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.23+5.45vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.44+3.91vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.66+5.52vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.29-0.84vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.60+3.99vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.45-0.23vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University1.61+1.58vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.30-1.51vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.37+0.53vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania2.06-2.64vs Predicted
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12Stanford University2.55-5.54vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.27-1.94vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy2.55-7.42vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College-0.06-0.61vs Predicted
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160.53-2.79vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.73-1.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.79Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
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7.45Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.230.1%1st Place
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6.91Boston College2.440.1%1st Place
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9.52Tufts University1.660.0%1st Place
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4.16Yale University3.290.2%1st Place
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9.99Boston University1.600.0%1st Place
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6.77Bowdoin College2.450.1%1st Place
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9.58Jacksonville University1.610.0%1st Place
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7.49Roger Williams University2.300.1%1st Place
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10.53Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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8.36University of Pennsylvania2.060.1%1st Place
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6.46Stanford University2.550.1%1st Place
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11.06Fordham University1.270.0%1st Place
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6.58U. S. Naval Academy2.550.1%1st Place
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14.39SUNY Maritime College-0.060.0%1st Place
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13.210.530.0%1st Place
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15.73U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Behrens | 14.9% | 13.9% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| JJ Klempen | 6.5% | 5.1% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Peter Busch | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Wyatt Bischoff | 3.4% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 3.3% | 0.6% |
| Stephan Baker | 19.1% | 17.7% | 14.3% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Porter Bell | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 0.9% |
| Sam Bonauto | 7.4% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Igoe | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 3.7% | 0.7% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 13.0% | 9.9% | 6.0% | 1.9% |
| Sofia Segalla | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Lucas Woodworth | 8.0% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Shachoy | 2.9% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 6.9% | 3.5% |
| Jack Welburn | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Luke Barker | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 14.4% | 29.0% | 26.0% |
| Jack Homa | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 20.5% | 20.4% | 9.9% |
| Oscar Gilroy | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 20.8% | 55.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.