Race 14B

maritime-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Christopher Stessing 19.4% 17.4% 17.9% 13.8% 9.7% 9.3% 5.7% 4.0% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Charles Peck 11.7% 12.9% 11.7% 14.3% 11.3% 10.0% 10.9% 8.7% 5.0% 2.4% 1.1% 0.0%
Julia Paxton 13.9% 13.1% 14.6% 10.2% 13.5% 11.3% 10.4% 7.6% 3.4% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
Duncan Howes 14.9% 18.6% 12.3% 13.3% 11.7% 11.1% 7.2% 6.3% 2.8% 1.5% 0.2% 0.1%
Lance Fraser 8.3% 8.6% 9.0% 10.9% 11.4% 10.4% 11.1% 11.9% 8.6% 6.6% 3.0% 0.2%
Liana Folger 13.2% 11.9% 11.2% 12.8% 13.2% 12.0% 9.1% 7.6% 5.6% 2.8% 0.6% 0.0%
Rudy Normann 5.1% 5.3% 7.0% 6.0% 9.0% 7.7% 11.4% 12.6% 13.1% 13.3% 8.7% 0.8%
Matthew Winter 3.6% 3.7% 3.0% 4.6% 4.8% 7.2% 8.0% 8.6% 14.4% 20.7% 17.7% 3.7%
Nicholas Woviotis 1.2% 1.4% 1.9% 1.7% 2.8% 3.1% 5.5% 6.7% 10.5% 16.6% 39.9% 8.7%
Mary Margaret Meehan 4.3% 4.0% 4.6% 4.2% 6.9% 8.1% 9.0% 12.3% 16.7% 15.9% 12.4% 1.6%
Connor McGowan 4.1% 3.0% 6.3% 7.7% 5.4% 9.2% 10.9% 12.6% 16.0% 14.7% 8.5% 1.6%
Sara Winkelman 0.3% 0.1% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.6% 0.8% 1.1% 1.8% 3.4% 7.4% 83.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.