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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.30+0.49vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles1.30+1.45vs Predicted
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3University of Washington-1.39+2.15vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii0.99-0.34vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara0.06+0.44vs Predicted
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6Arizona State University-0.39+0.99vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University0.31-1.95vs Predicted
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8University of California at Davis-2.16+0.96vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-1.41-0.78vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley-0.56-3.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.49Stanford University3.3065.8%1st Place
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3.45University of California at Los Angeles1.3010.0%1st Place
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5.15University of Washington-1.393.6%1st Place
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3.66University of Hawaii0.999.2%1st Place
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5.44University of California at Santa Barbara0.063.7%1st Place
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6.99Arizona State University-0.391.1%1st Place
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5.05Western Washington University0.314.0%1st Place
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8.96University of California at Davis-2.160.3%1st Place
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8.22University of California at San Diego-1.410.6%1st Place
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6.58University of California at Berkeley-0.561.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 65.8% | 23.4% | 8.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marianna Shand | 10.0% | 23.5% | 22.6% | 18.6% | 12.4% | 7.5% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Emily Smith | 3.6% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 14.8% | 16.6% | 15.6% | 13.5% | 10.2% | 4.3% | 0.8% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 9.2% | 19.1% | 22.9% | 19.4% | 12.8% | 10.0% | 4.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Juliet St. Germain | 3.7% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 15.0% | 17.0% | 15.3% | 11.6% | 5.8% | 1.8% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.1% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 16.7% | 22.6% | 19.6% | 8.0% |
| Ellie Blakemore | 4.0% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 15.8% | 19.1% | 17.4% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Claire Desbaillets | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 8.8% | 20.1% | 56.5% |
| Cassie Halaszynski | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 10.2% | 13.9% | 31.6% | 28.1% |
| Victoria Chen | 1.7% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 13.0% | 18.1% | 20.9% | 15.4% | 4.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.