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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+6.88vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.82+5.64vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.69+5.13vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.64+0.57vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+1.80vs Predicted
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6University of Miami2.27+3.64vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.23-1.06vs Predicted
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8Webb Institute1.91+2.89vs Predicted
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9Tulane University2.45-0.19vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.79-2.19vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-2.90vs Predicted
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12George Washington University1.39+1.23vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College1.64-1.07vs Predicted
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14Florida State University2.12-4.07vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University1.24-1.58vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College1.59-3.70vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin0.53-1.48vs Predicted
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18University of California at Santa Barbara2.51-9.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.88U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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7.64Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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8.13Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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4.57Harvard University3.640.2%1st Place
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6.8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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9.64University of Miami2.270.0%1st Place
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5.94University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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10.89Webb Institute1.910.0%1st Place
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8.81Tulane University2.450.0%1st Place
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7.81Georgetown University2.790.1%1st Place
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8.1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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13.23George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
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11.93Eckerd College1.640.0%1st Place
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9.93Florida State University2.120.0%1st Place
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13.42Old Dominion University1.240.0%1st Place
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12.3Connecticut College1.590.0%1st Place
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15.52University of Wisconsin0.530.0%1st Place
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8.45University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colman Schofield | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| William Michels | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Bridget Green | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Justin Callahan | 17.3% | 14.6% | 15.0% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Owen Hennessey | 8.6% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Dennis | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 1.4% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 11.1% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Rayne Duff | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 6.1% | 3.6% |
| Kelly Holthus | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 9.4% | 13.2% | 17.8% | 12.8% |
| Jordan Vieira | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 7.5% |
| Peter Foley | 4.1% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.2% |
| Diogo Silva | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 13.6% | 16.8% | 14.8% |
| Skylor Sweet | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 8.8% |
| Jacqueline Ruggieri | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 9.4% | 16.5% | 45.2% |
| Henry Boeger | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.