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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+6.81vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+4.97vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.23+3.09vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.64+0.57vs Predicted
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5Tulane University2.45+3.77vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.82+1.45vs Predicted
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7University of Miami2.27+2.60vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College1.59+4.12vs Predicted
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9Florida State University2.12+1.17vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.69-1.86vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University1.24+2.50vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.79-4.11vs Predicted
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13George Washington University1.39-0.22vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-6.25vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin0.53+0.46vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College1.64-3.84vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Barbara2.51-8.18vs Predicted
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18Webb Institute1.91-7.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.81U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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6.97St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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6.09University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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4.57Harvard University3.640.2%1st Place
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8.77Tulane University2.450.1%1st Place
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7.45Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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9.6University of Miami2.270.1%1st Place
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12.12Connecticut College1.590.0%1st Place
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10.17Florida State University2.120.0%1st Place
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8.14Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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13.5Old Dominion University1.240.0%1st Place
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7.89Georgetown University2.790.1%1st Place
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12.78George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
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7.75Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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15.46University of Wisconsin0.530.0%1st Place
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12.16Eckerd College1.640.0%1st Place
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8.82University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.1%1st Place
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10.94Webb Institute1.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colman Schofield | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Owen Hennessey | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 9.6% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Justin Callahan | 17.0% | 16.3% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kelly Holthus | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| William Michels | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Aidan Dennis | 5.0% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Skylor Sweet | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 15.0% | 12.4% | 7.3% |
| Peter Foley | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 4.2% | 2.4% |
| Bridget Green | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Diogo Silva | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 17.2% | 16.9% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 14.4% | 12.3% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Jacqueline Ruggieri | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 17.0% | 43.8% |
| Jordan Vieira | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 8.2% |
| Henry Boeger | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Rayne Duff | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 4.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.