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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.23+5.09vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.69+6.07vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.64+1.67vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+3.81vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+1.75vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+1.62vs Predicted
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7Florida State University2.12+3.13vs Predicted
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8Tulane University2.45+0.75vs Predicted
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9University of Miami2.27+0.53vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College1.64+2.20vs Predicted
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11Webb Institute1.91+0.15vs Predicted
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12George Washington University1.39+1.24vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University1.24+0.27vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara2.51-5.63vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College2.82-7.69vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University2.54-7.43vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin0.53-1.51vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College1.59-6.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.09University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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8.07Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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4.67Harvard University3.640.2%1st Place
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7.81Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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6.75St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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7.62U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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10.13Florida State University2.120.0%1st Place
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8.75Tulane University2.450.1%1st Place
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9.53University of Miami2.270.0%1st Place
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12.2Eckerd College1.640.0%1st Place
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11.15Webb Institute1.910.0%1st Place
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13.24George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
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13.27Old Dominion University1.240.0%1st Place
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8.37University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.1%1st Place
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7.31Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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8.57Georgetown University2.540.1%1st Place
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15.49University of Wisconsin0.530.0%1st Place
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11.98Connecticut College1.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kerem Erkmen | 10.4% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Green | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Justin Callahan | 15.5% | 15.0% | 13.3% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Owen Hennessey | 9.3% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Colman Schofield | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Peter Foley | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 2.5% |
| Kelly Holthus | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Aidan Dennis | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Jordan Vieira | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 7.3% |
| Rayne Duff | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 6.5% | 4.8% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 11.7% | 19.6% | 12.8% |
| Diogo Silva | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 15.7% | 15.8% |
| Henry Boeger | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| William Michels | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Diego Escobar | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Jacqueline Ruggieri | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 9.5% | 15.5% | 45.2% |
| Skylor Sweet | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 7.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.