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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami2.27+8.78vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.64+2.66vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.69+5.10vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.82+3.30vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+1.72vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.23-0.09vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+0.87vs Predicted
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8Tulane University2.45+0.75vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College1.59+3.16vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University1.24+3.62vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76-3.22vs Predicted
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12George Washington University1.39+1.15vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara2.51-4.51vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College1.64-2.33vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin0.53+0.41vs Predicted
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16Webb Institute1.91-4.89vs Predicted
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17Georgetown University2.54-8.37vs Predicted
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18Florida State University2.12-8.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.78University of Miami2.270.0%1st Place
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4.66Harvard University3.640.1%1st Place
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8.1Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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7.3Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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6.72St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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5.91University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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7.87Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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8.75Tulane University2.450.1%1st Place
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12.16Connecticut College1.590.0%1st Place
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13.62Old Dominion University1.240.0%1st Place
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7.78U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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13.15George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
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8.49University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.1%1st Place
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11.67Eckerd College1.640.0%1st Place
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15.41University of Wisconsin0.530.0%1st Place
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11.11Webb Institute1.910.0%1st Place
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8.63Georgetown University2.540.1%1st Place
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9.91Florida State University2.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Dennis | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 1.5% |
| Justin Callahan | 14.0% | 14.7% | 13.5% | 13.8% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Green | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| William Michels | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Owen Hennessey | 9.9% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 11.5% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 12.7% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Kelly Holthus | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| Skylor Sweet | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 11.4% | 6.6% |
| Diogo Silva | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 14.1% | 17.4% | 17.2% |
| Colman Schofield | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 16.7% | 14.3% |
| Henry Boeger | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Jordan Vieira | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 7.2% |
| Jacqueline Ruggieri | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 10.3% | 15.5% | 43.2% |
| Rayne Duff | 3.6% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 4.6% |
| Diego Escobar | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Peter Foley | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.