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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.64+3.75vs Predicted
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2University of Miami2.27+7.82vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.45+6.10vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+2.69vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.23+0.93vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+1.65vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College1.59+5.20vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.82-0.68vs Predicted
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9Florida State University2.12+1.12vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.79-2.25vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University1.24+2.43vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College1.64+0.32vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-5.18vs Predicted
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14Cornell University2.69-6.42vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Barbara2.51-6.39vs Predicted
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16George Washington University1.39-3.02vs Predicted
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17Webb Institute1.77-5.36vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin0.53-2.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.75Harvard University3.640.2%1st Place
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9.82University of Miami2.270.0%1st Place
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9.1Tulane University2.450.0%1st Place
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6.69St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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5.93University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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7.65U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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12.2Connecticut College1.590.0%1st Place
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7.32Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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10.12Florida State University2.120.0%1st Place
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7.75Georgetown University2.790.1%1st Place
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13.43Old Dominion University1.240.0%1st Place
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12.32Eckerd College1.640.0%1st Place
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7.82Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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7.58Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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8.61University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.0%1st Place
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12.98George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
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11.64Webb Institute1.770.0%1st Place
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15.29University of Wisconsin0.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Callahan | 15.7% | 14.9% | 14.3% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Dennis | 3.3% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 1.5% |
| Kelly Holthus | 4.1% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Owen Hennessey | 9.1% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 12.1% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Colman Schofield | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Skylor Sweet | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 8.3% |
| William Michels | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 10.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Peter Foley | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 2.1% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Diogo Silva | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 17.6% | 16.2% |
| Jordan Vieira | 2.0% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 14.0% | 8.2% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Bridget Green | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Henry Boeger | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 14.8% | 12.4% |
| Calvin Schmid | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 5.6% |
| Jacqueline Ruggieri | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 14.9% | 42.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.