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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College1.59+11.29vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.45+7.09vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.23+3.13vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.64+0.59vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.82+2.39vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.69+1.86vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+0.96vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.24+5.26vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.79-1.56vs Predicted
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10Florida State University2.12+0.39vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College1.64+1.12vs Predicted
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12University of Miami2.27-2.09vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara2.51-4.52vs Predicted
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14Webb Institute1.77-2.69vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76-7.38vs Predicted
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16George Washington University1.39-2.98vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin0.53-1.50vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-11.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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12.29Connecticut College1.590.0%1st Place
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9.09Tulane University2.450.0%1st Place
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6.13University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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4.59Harvard University3.640.2%1st Place
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7.39Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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7.86Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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7.96Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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13.26Old Dominion University1.240.0%1st Place
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7.44Georgetown University2.790.1%1st Place
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10.39Florida State University2.120.0%1st Place
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12.12Eckerd College1.640.0%1st Place
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9.91University of Miami2.270.0%1st Place
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8.48University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.1%1st Place
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11.31Webb Institute1.770.0%1st Place
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7.62U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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13.02George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
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15.5University of Wisconsin0.530.0%1st Place
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6.62St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skylor Sweet | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 9.2% |
| Kelly Holthus | 3.7% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 9.7% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Justin Callahan | 16.9% | 16.6% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Michels | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Green | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Sam Bruce | 7.0% | 4.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Diogo Silva | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 10.5% | 13.4% | 14.6% | 15.9% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 6.5% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Peter Foley | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 1.9% |
| Jordan Vieira | 3.2% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 7.0% |
| Aidan Dennis | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 1.2% |
| Henry Boeger | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
| Calvin Schmid | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 4.3% |
| Colman Schofield | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 13.8% | 13.0% |
| Jacqueline Ruggieri | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 9.5% | 15.4% | 45.4% |
| Owen Hennessey | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.