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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.30+0.47vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles1.30+1.48vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii0.99+0.70vs Predicted
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4University of Washington-1.39+1.20vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara0.06+0.48vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University0.31-0.97vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley-0.56-0.50vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-1.41+0.11vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University-0.39-1.97vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis-2.16-1.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.47Stanford University3.3065.1%1st Place
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3.48University of California at Los Angeles1.3010.8%1st Place
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3.7University of Hawaii0.999.2%1st Place
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5.2University of Washington-1.393.9%1st Place
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5.48University of California at Santa Barbara0.062.9%1st Place
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5.03Western Washington University0.313.9%1st Place
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6.5University of California at Berkeley-0.562.4%1st Place
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8.11University of California at San Diego-1.410.5%1st Place
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7.03Arizona State University-0.391.1%1st Place
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8.99University of California at Davis-2.160.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 65.1% | 25.1% | 7.4% | 2.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marianna Shand | 10.8% | 22.2% | 21.7% | 18.4% | 14.1% | 7.8% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 9.2% | 19.2% | 22.6% | 17.2% | 15.2% | 9.3% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Emily Smith | 3.9% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 14.1% | 15.2% | 16.4% | 14.8% | 10.1% | 4.5% | 0.9% |
| Juliet St. Germain | 2.9% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 12.8% | 15.6% | 16.1% | 18.2% | 11.4% | 4.9% | 1.3% |
| Ellie Blakemore | 3.9% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 17.5% | 15.2% | 16.4% | 12.9% | 8.9% | 4.0% | 0.4% |
| Victoria Chen | 2.4% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 16.8% | 20.3% | 14.8% | 5.1% |
| Cassie Halaszynski | 0.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 15.7% | 31.4% | 26.2% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.1% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 16.2% | 22.2% | 19.9% | 8.2% |
| Claire Desbaillets | 0.1% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 7.8% | 20.0% | 58.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.