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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.25+2.13vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont3.41-0.14vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.81-0.52vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.51-0.07vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College1.85-1.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.13Tufts University2.250.1%1st Place
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1.86University of Vermont3.410.5%1st Place
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2.48Bowdoin College2.810.3%1st Place
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3.93Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.510.1%1st Place
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3.59Middlebury College1.850.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Denney | 14.0% | 19.5% | 24.2% | 24.1% | 18.2% |
| Nate Jermain | 46.5% | 29.3% | 16.8% | 6.1% | 1.3% |
| James Rohman | 25.2% | 28.6% | 25.1% | 14.7% | 6.4% |
| Jack Murphy | 5.8% | 9.3% | 14.5% | 26.9% | 43.5% |
| Nicholas Dragone | 8.5% | 13.3% | 19.4% | 28.2% | 30.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.