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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+6.81vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.79+5.72vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.23+3.05vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.51+4.53vs Predicted
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5Webb Institute1.77+6.38vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.82+1.43vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College1.59+5.18vs Predicted
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8Tulane University2.45+0.79vs Predicted
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9George Washington University1.39+3.91vs Predicted
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10University of Miami2.27-0.17vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin0.53+4.42vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-3.70vs Predicted
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13Harvard University3.64-8.47vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-7.39vs Predicted
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15Cornell University2.69-7.10vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University1.24-2.53vs Predicted
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17Florida State University2.12-6.72vs Predicted
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18Eckerd College1.64-6.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.81U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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7.72Georgetown University2.790.1%1st Place
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6.05University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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8.53University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.1%1st Place
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11.38Webb Institute1.770.0%1st Place
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7.43Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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12.18Connecticut College1.590.0%1st Place
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8.79Tulane University2.450.1%1st Place
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12.91George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
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9.83University of Miami2.270.0%1st Place
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15.42University of Wisconsin0.530.0%1st Place
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8.3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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4.53Harvard University3.640.2%1st Place
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6.61St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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7.9Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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13.47Old Dominion University1.240.0%1st Place
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10.28Florida State University2.120.0%1st Place
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11.88Eckerd College1.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colman Schofield | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 9.7% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Henry Boeger | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Calvin Schmid | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 6.0% |
| William Michels | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Skylor Sweet | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 8.4% |
| Kelly Holthus | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 14.5% | 11.9% |
| Aidan Dennis | 4.6% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 1.8% |
| Jacqueline Ruggieri | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 17.9% | 43.4% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Justin Callahan | 17.3% | 15.6% | 14.5% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Hennessey | 8.8% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Bridget Green | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Diogo Silva | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 13.0% | 16.6% | 15.8% |
| Peter Foley | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 2.8% |
| Jordan Vieira | 3.6% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 6.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.