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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+6.04vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.23+4.08vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.82+4.63vs Predicted
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4University of Miami2.27+5.49vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.39+7.79vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.64-1.46vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+0.63vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.24+5.31vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.69-1.17vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-1.79vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University2.79-3.30vs Predicted
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12Florida State University2.12-1.49vs Predicted
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13Webb Institute1.77-1.59vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College1.59-2.10vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Barbara2.51-6.44vs Predicted
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16Tulane University2.45-7.11vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College1.64-4.86vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin0.53-2.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.04St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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6.08University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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7.63Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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9.49University of Miami2.270.0%1st Place
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12.79George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
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4.54Harvard University3.640.2%1st Place
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7.63U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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13.31Old Dominion University1.240.0%1st Place
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7.83Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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8.21Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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7.7Georgetown University2.790.1%1st Place
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10.51Florida State University2.120.0%1st Place
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11.41Webb Institute1.770.0%1st Place
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11.9Connecticut College1.590.0%1st Place
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8.56University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.1%1st Place
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8.89Tulane University2.450.0%1st Place
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12.14Eckerd College1.640.0%1st Place
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15.33University of Wisconsin0.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Hennessey | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 8.5% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| William Michels | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Aidan Dennis | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 2.0% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 14.9% | 13.1% |
| Justin Callahan | 16.9% | 16.0% | 14.6% | 11.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colman Schofield | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Diogo Silva | 2.2% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 16.0% | 17.6% |
| Bridget Green | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Peter Foley | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 2.0% |
| Calvin Schmid | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 5.7% |
| Skylor Sweet | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 8.3% |
| Henry Boeger | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Kelly Holthus | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Jordan Vieira | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 13.0% | 6.9% |
| Jacqueline Ruggieri | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 17.0% | 41.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.