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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.23+5.14vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+4.94vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.45+6.04vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.79+3.46vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.69+2.87vs Predicted
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6Florida State University2.12+4.15vs Predicted
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7George Washington University1.39+5.90vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76-0.47vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.82-1.70vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.64-5.28vs Predicted
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11Webb Institute1.77+0.71vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-3.72vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin0.53+2.31vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College1.59-2.06vs Predicted
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15University of Miami2.27-5.46vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University1.24-2.50vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Barbara2.51-8.24vs Predicted
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18Eckerd College1.64-6.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.14University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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6.94St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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9.04Tulane University2.450.0%1st Place
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7.46Georgetown University2.790.1%1st Place
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7.87Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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10.15Florida State University2.120.0%1st Place
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12.9George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
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7.53U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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7.3Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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4.72Harvard University3.640.2%1st Place
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11.71Webb Institute1.770.0%1st Place
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8.28Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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15.31University of Wisconsin0.530.0%1st Place
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11.94Connecticut College1.590.0%1st Place
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9.54University of Miami2.270.0%1st Place
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13.5Old Dominion University1.240.0%1st Place
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8.76University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.0%1st Place
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11.89Eckerd College1.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kerem Erkmen | 10.4% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Owen Hennessey | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kelly Holthus | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Bridget Green | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Peter Foley | 3.8% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 2.5% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 13.5% | 15.2% | 12.1% |
| Colman Schofield | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| William Michels | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% |
| Justin Callahan | 16.1% | 13.8% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Calvin Schmid | 3.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 9.5% | 5.5% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% |
| Jacqueline Ruggieri | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 9.7% | 13.6% | 45.0% |
| Skylor Sweet | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 7.8% |
| Aidan Dennis | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 1.3% |
| Diogo Silva | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 17.2% | 15.8% |
| Henry Boeger | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 0.2% |
| Jordan Vieira | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 6.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.