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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+7.16vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.69+6.09vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.45+6.09vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.79+3.44vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.82+2.36vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.23-0.06vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.64-2.34vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76-0.47vs Predicted
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9George Washington University1.39+3.93vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-2.95vs Predicted
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11Florida State University2.12-0.73vs Predicted
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12Webb Institute1.91-0.62vs Predicted
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13University of Miami2.27-3.55vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara2.51-5.61vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College1.59-2.81vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University1.24-2.45vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College1.64-4.83vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin0.53-2.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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8.09Cornell University2.690.0%1st Place
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9.09Tulane University2.450.0%1st Place
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7.44Georgetown University2.790.1%1st Place
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7.36Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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5.94University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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4.66Harvard University3.640.2%1st Place
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7.53U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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12.93George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
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7.05St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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10.27Florida State University2.120.0%1st Place
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11.38Webb Institute1.910.0%1st Place
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9.45University of Miami2.270.0%1st Place
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8.39University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.1%1st Place
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12.19Connecticut College1.590.0%1st Place
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13.55Old Dominion University1.240.0%1st Place
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12.17Eckerd College1.640.0%1st Place
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15.35University of Wisconsin0.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Bruce | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Bridget Green | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Kelly Holthus | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| William Michels | 7.4% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 11.1% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Justin Callahan | 16.1% | 15.8% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Colman Schofield | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 10.5% | 13.6% | 15.1% | 11.0% |
| Owen Hennessey | 9.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Peter Foley | 4.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 3.0% |
| Rayne Duff | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 8.3% | 4.9% |
| Aidan Dennis | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| Henry Boeger | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Skylor Sweet | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 12.6% | 8.4% |
| Diogo Silva | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 15.3% | 17.5% |
| Jordan Vieira | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 12.9% | 7.8% |
| Jacqueline Ruggieri | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 16.4% | 43.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.