← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Harvard University3.64+3.76vs Predicted
-
2Tulane University2.45+7.14vs Predicted
-
3University of Rhode Island3.23+3.08vs Predicted
-
4George Washington University1.39+8.80vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+2.62vs Predicted
-
6Cornell University2.69+1.90vs Predicted
-
7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+0.94vs Predicted
-
8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-1.28vs Predicted
-
9University of Miami2.27+0.61vs Predicted
-
10Florida State University2.12+0.41vs Predicted
-
11Georgetown University2.79-3.29vs Predicted
-
12Old Dominion University1.24+1.74vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Santa Barbara2.51-4.45vs Predicted
-
14Eckerd College1.64-2.22vs Predicted
-
15Dartmouth College2.82-7.66vs Predicted
-
16Connecticut College1.59-3.62vs Predicted
-
17Webb Institute1.91-5.80vs Predicted
-
18University of Wisconsin0.53-2.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.76Harvard University3.640.2%1st Place
-
9.14Tulane University2.450.0%1st Place
-
6.08University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
-
12.8George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
-
7.62U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
-
7.9Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
-
7.94Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
-
6.72St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
-
9.61University of Miami2.270.0%1st Place
-
10.41Florida State University2.120.0%1st Place
-
7.71Georgetown University2.790.1%1st Place
-
13.74Old Dominion University1.240.0%1st Place
-
8.55University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.1%1st Place
-
11.78Eckerd College1.640.0%1st Place
-
7.34Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
-
12.38Connecticut College1.590.0%1st Place
-
11.2Webb Institute1.910.0%1st Place
-
15.31University of Wisconsin0.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Callahan | 16.3% | 15.0% | 12.9% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kelly Holthus | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 10.2% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 13.0% | 14.3% | 12.6% |
| Colman Schofield | 7.0% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Bridget Green | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Owen Hennessey | 8.7% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Dennis | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.4% |
| Peter Foley | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 4.8% | 2.4% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Diogo Silva | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 18.1% | 19.1% |
| Henry Boeger | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Jordan Vieira | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 7.4% |
| William Michels | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.5% |
| Skylor Sweet | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 12.9% | 14.0% | 7.8% |
| Rayne Duff | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 4.0% |
| Jacqueline Ruggieri | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 10.7% | 16.7% | 41.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.