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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.69+7.07vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.23+4.00vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.82+4.50vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+3.39vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.64-0.47vs Predicted
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6Florida State University2.12+4.05vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+0.89vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.54+0.36vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University1.24+4.39vs Predicted
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10Webb Institute1.77+1.68vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-4.16vs Predicted
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12Tulane University2.45-2.93vs Predicted
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13George Washington University1.39-0.28vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College1.64-2.35vs Predicted
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15University of Miami2.27-5.55vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College1.45-3.30vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin0.53-1.57vs Predicted
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18University of California at Santa Barbara2.51-9.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.07Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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6.0University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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7.5Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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7.39U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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4.53Harvard University3.640.2%1st Place
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10.05Florida State University2.120.0%1st Place
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7.89Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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8.36Georgetown University2.540.1%1st Place
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13.39Old Dominion University1.240.0%1st Place
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11.68Webb Institute1.770.0%1st Place
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6.84St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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9.07Tulane University2.450.1%1st Place
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12.72George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
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11.65Eckerd College1.640.0%1st Place
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9.45University of Miami2.270.0%1st Place
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12.7Connecticut College1.450.0%1st Place
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15.43University of Wisconsin0.530.0%1st Place
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8.3University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridget Green | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 8.3% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| William Michels | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Colman Schofield | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Justin Callahan | 18.1% | 16.9% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Foley | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 2.5% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Diego Escobar | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Diogo Silva | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 13.1% | 18.1% | 13.4% |
| Calvin Schmid | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 5.8% |
| Owen Hennessey | 9.8% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Kelly Holthus | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 13.0% | 13.6% | 11.9% |
| Jordan Vieira | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 12.9% | 9.8% | 5.4% |
| Aidan Dennis | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.0% |
| Duncan Craine | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 11.3% |
| Jacqueline Ruggieri | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 16.4% | 44.7% |
| Henry Boeger | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.