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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.10+7.59vs Predicted
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2University of Miami2.66+4.49vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32+4.78vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.72+2.08vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63+1.45vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.45+1.09vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.03-1.89vs Predicted
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8Tulane University2.74-2.03vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University1.08+3.23vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College1.23+1.94vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College1.62-0.65vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.32-4.08vs Predicted
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13George Washington University0.89-0.29vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73-4.43vs Predicted
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15Webb Institute1.54-4.51vs Predicted
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16Florida State University0.42-1.58vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Barbara1.19-5.00vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin-0.26-2.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.59University of Rhode Island2.100.1%1st Place
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6.49University of Miami2.660.1%1st Place
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7.78St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.1%1st Place
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6.08Dartmouth College2.720.1%1st Place
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6.45U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.1%1st Place
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7.09Georgetown University2.450.1%1st Place
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5.11Harvard University3.030.1%1st Place
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5.97Tulane University2.740.1%1st Place
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12.23Old Dominion University1.080.0%1st Place
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11.94Connecticut College1.230.0%1st Place
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10.35Eckerd College1.620.0%1st Place
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7.92Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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12.71George Washington University0.890.0%1st Place
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9.57Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.0%1st Place
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10.49Webb Institute1.540.0%1st Place
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14.42Florida State University0.420.0%1st Place
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12.0University of California at Santa Barbara1.190.0%1st Place
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15.81University of Wisconsin-0.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Nash | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Atlee Kohl | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Landon Cormie | 6.6% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 11.2% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 9.0% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Enzo Menditto | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 13.6% | 14.8% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Christian Ebbin | 11.2% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Blake Goodwin | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 6.0% |
| William Hurd | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 4.7% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 4.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 1.9% |
| Sophia Devling | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Tryg van Wyk | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 11.5% | 13.7% | 13.4% | 8.9% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Everett Botwinick | 2.5% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 1.4% |
| Carter Weatherilt | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 12.6% | 20.6% | 21.6% |
| Jasper Reid | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 13.3% | 10.1% | 5.6% |
| Nigel Yu | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 17.7% | 48.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.