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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.74+5.29vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.03+3.28vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.32+4.77vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.72+2.03vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.08+7.10vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.45+1.10vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63-0.58vs Predicted
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8University of Miami2.66-1.68vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College1.62+1.24vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32-2.14vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.10-2.46vs Predicted
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12George Washington University0.89+1.23vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.23-1.44vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara1.19-2.48vs Predicted
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15Florida State University0.42-0.68vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73-6.11vs Predicted
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17Webb Institute1.54-6.27vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin-0.26-2.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.29Tulane University2.740.1%1st Place
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5.28Harvard University3.030.1%1st Place
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7.77Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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6.03Dartmouth College2.720.1%1st Place
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12.1Old Dominion University1.080.0%1st Place
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7.1Georgetown University2.450.1%1st Place
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6.42U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.1%1st Place
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6.32University of Miami2.660.1%1st Place
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10.24Eckerd College1.620.0%1st Place
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7.86St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.1%1st Place
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8.54University of Rhode Island2.100.1%1st Place
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13.23George Washington University0.890.0%1st Place
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11.56Connecticut College1.230.0%1st Place
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11.52University of California at Santa Barbara1.190.0%1st Place
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14.32Florida State University0.420.0%1st Place
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9.89Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.0%1st Place
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10.73Webb Institute1.540.0%1st Place
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15.8University of Wisconsin-0.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Ebbin | 9.9% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 11.3% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Devling | 6.4% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 10.5% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Blake Goodwin | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 5.8% |
| Enzo Menditto | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 9.7% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Atlee Kohl | 9.5% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 1.3% |
| Landon Cormie | 7.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Tyler Nash | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Tryg van Wyk | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 16.3% | 11.4% |
| William Hurd | 2.4% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 4.1% |
| Jasper Reid | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 4.1% |
| Carter Weatherilt | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 15.5% | 20.2% | 20.0% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| Everett Botwinick | 3.9% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 4.5% | 2.1% |
| Nigel Yu | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 9.3% | 16.5% | 48.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.