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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.81+1.51vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont3.41-0.14vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.25+0.11vs Predicted
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4Middlebury College1.85-0.41vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.51-1.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.51Bowdoin College2.810.3%1st Place
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1.86University of Vermont3.410.5%1st Place
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3.11Tufts University2.250.1%1st Place
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3.59Middlebury College1.850.1%1st Place
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3.94Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.510.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Rohman | 25.4% | 29.2% | 21.9% | 16.5% | 7.0% |
| Nate Jermain | 46.8% | 29.0% | 17.0% | 6.1% | 1.1% |
| Jacob Denney | 13.4% | 19.0% | 26.2% | 26.2% | 15.2% |
| Nicholas Dragone | 8.2% | 12.7% | 21.8% | 26.5% | 30.8% |
| Jack Murphy | 6.2% | 10.1% | 13.1% | 24.7% | 45.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.