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📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.61+0.66vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii0.99+1.45vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara0.06+2.28vs Predicted
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4University of Washington-1.39+0.89vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles1.30-1.80vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley-0.56+0.30vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-0.51-0.56vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University-0.39-1.17vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-1.41-0.93vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis-2.16-1.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.66Stanford University2.6157.1%1st Place
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3.45University of Hawaii0.9911.8%1st Place
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5.28University of California at Santa Barbara0.064.0%1st Place
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4.89University of Washington-1.395.1%1st Place
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3.2University of California at Los Angeles1.3014.3%1st Place
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6.3University of California at Berkeley-0.562.5%1st Place
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6.44Western Washington University-0.512.5%1st Place
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6.83Arizona State University-0.391.5%1st Place
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8.07University of California at San Diego-1.410.8%1st Place
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8.89University of California at Davis-2.160.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 57.1% | 26.6% | 11.2% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 11.8% | 20.5% | 23.4% | 18.4% | 13.6% | 7.3% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Juliet St. Germain | 4.0% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 13.8% | 17.2% | 18.3% | 14.2% | 10.6% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
| Emily Smith | 5.1% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 16.4% | 17.1% | 16.7% | 11.8% | 7.3% | 3.4% | 0.4% |
| Marianna Shand | 14.3% | 22.7% | 25.2% | 18.2% | 10.2% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Victoria Chen | 2.5% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 9.0% | 13.1% | 16.4% | 17.7% | 16.2% | 12.2% | 4.2% |
| Anna Morrow | 2.5% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 13.9% | 16.7% | 18.4% | 13.7% | 6.0% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.5% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 12.4% | 17.9% | 20.2% | 17.8% | 6.8% |
| Cassie Halaszynski | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 10.3% | 15.4% | 29.8% | 26.0% |
| Claire Desbaillets | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 10.1% | 18.7% | 55.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.