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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63+5.69vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.74+4.26vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.03+2.32vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.10+4.31vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32+2.58vs Predicted
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6University of Miami2.66+0.42vs Predicted
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7Florida State University0.42+7.08vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.36-0.68vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.32-1.49vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College1.62+0.42vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University1.08+1.15vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin-0.26+3.95vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.50-2.50vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University2.45-7.08vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College2.72-8.90vs Predicted
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16Webb Institute0.07-0.93vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Barbara1.19-5.16vs Predicted
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18George Washington University0.89-5.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.69U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.1%1st Place
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6.26Tulane University2.740.1%1st Place
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5.32Harvard University3.030.1%1st Place
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8.31University of Rhode Island2.100.1%1st Place
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7.58St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.1%1st Place
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6.42University of Miami2.660.1%1st Place
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14.08Florida State University0.420.0%1st Place
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7.32Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.360.1%1st Place
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7.51Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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10.42Eckerd College1.620.0%1st Place
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12.15Old Dominion University1.080.0%1st Place
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15.95University of Wisconsin-0.260.0%1st Place
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10.5Connecticut College1.500.0%1st Place
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6.92Georgetown University2.450.1%1st Place
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6.1Dartmouth College2.720.1%1st Place
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15.07Webb Institute0.070.0%1st Place
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11.84University of California at Santa Barbara1.190.0%1st Place
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12.55George Washington University0.890.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Reeser | 8.4% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Christian Ebbin | 8.4% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 12.5% | 13.0% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Nash | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Landon Cormie | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Atlee Kohl | 9.5% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carter Weatherilt | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 16.0% | 19.6% | 15.2% |
| Robert Ulmer | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Sophia Devling | 5.9% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Blake Goodwin | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 13.3% | 13.9% | 8.1% | 4.4% |
| Nigel Yu | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 10.4% | 20.5% | 43.4% |
| Henry Scholz | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 0.6% |
| Enzo Menditto | 7.2% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 10.4% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marc Leyk | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 12.4% | 23.4% | 26.4% |
| Jasper Reid | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 14.2% | 7.6% | 2.8% |
| Tryg van Wyk | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 13.0% | 11.2% | 5.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.